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Crafting Powerful Narratives for Societal and Behavioral Shifts: Insights from the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change’s 2024 Report

In its latest Assessment Report 2024 titled Towards EU Climate Neutrality: Progress, Policy Gaps, and Opportunities, the European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change (ESABCC) underscores the urgent need for climate policies to go beyond reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The report suggests that to achieve true societal transformation, policies must be supported by compelling, evidence-driven narratives that connect with local communities and reflect the full spectrum of benefits, including well-being, job creation, and economic resilience.

Reframing Climate Policies: From Costs to Benefits

A central theme in the ESABCC’s report is the power of storytelling in climate action. Too often, climate policies are framed narrowly and technically around emissions reductions and cost-effectiveness. However, the Advisory Board argues that successful climate strategies must integrate a “whole-of-society” approach—one that highlights both the tangible and intangible benefits of climate action. These include not just environmental sustainability, but also improved health, economic opportunities, and greater energy security. In telling these narratives, the link must be made between these benefits and climate policy.

Localized narratives tailored to specific community contexts can ignite societal and behavioral changes. For example, demand-side mitigation strategies—those that focus on changing consumption patterns and reducing energy use—are crucial, yet largely untapped. By promoting awareness, professional advice, and community-driven solutions, policymakers can tap into people’s inherent willingness to adopt sustainable practices when they see direct benefits for their families, neighborhoods, and society at large.

Behavioral Shifts: Small Changes, Big Results in Energy and Buildings

The Assessment Report 2024 highlights the transformative potential of small behavioral changes, particularly in energy consumption. Behavioral interventions such as energy labeling, goal-setting, and social comparison have already shown promising results in reducing private household energy use. The report notes that between 2019 and 2022, these shifts contributed to a 12% reduction in fossil gas consumption in EU buildings, with behavior changes accounting for half of that decrease.

Further policies, the report suggests, could harness this momentum by encouraging better use of existing buildings and addressing rebound effects in renovation projects—where energy use increases post-renovation due to lifestyle changes. Policies need to be more attuned to the nuances of behavioral change to ensure long-term reductions in energy consumption.

Agriculture and the Power of Sustainable Diets

The ESABCC’s report also turns the spotlight on the agricultural sector, urging policymakers to focus on educating consumers about sustainable diets and food waste reduction. While there may be cultural and social challenges in shifting dietary habits, the report suggests that policies can build on deeply held values—such as health—by emphasizing the myriad benefits of sustainable eating.

Yet, the Advisory Board notes that EU climate policies have been slow to capitalize on the potential of societal and behavioral shifts in consumption patterns. Current narratives, focused mainly on emissions reduction, often overlook the broader advantages of climate action. This gap is particularly evident in the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD), where building renovations have not been sufficiently framed in terms of their multiple societal benefits—such as job creation, reduced energy poverty, and improved public health.

Policy Integration: Multiple Benefits, One Strategy

The Assessment Report 2024 calls for greater integration of multiple benefits in EU climate policies. Recent initiatives like the European Commission’s Renovation Wave Strategy and the New European Bauhaus are steps in the right direction, aiming to connect climate action with values of sustainability, aesthetics, and inclusion. The New European Bauhaus, in particular, seeks to transform society by encouraging new lifestyles and fostering energy-efficient buildings that also improve quality of life.

The EPBD’s recast version supports this vision by recognizing the broad benefits of energy efficiency, such as job creation and energy security. New provisions, such as the proposed building renovation passport and smart readiness indicators, aim to promote behavior changes by improving access to data and encouraging smarter energy use.

Energy Security: Connecting Climate Action to Daily Life

One of the most urgent calls from the Assessment Report 2024 is for climate policies to connect more directly to people’s everyday concerns. In light of the energy crisis triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the European Commission’s focus on energy security—tied to renewable energy and energy-saving measures—has resonated strongly with the public. By framing climate action in terms of local issues like air pollution and energy dependence, the EU can make climate policies more relatable and compelling.

This shift in narrative helps engage citizens in transformative changes that benefit both the environment and their immediate well-being. The report stresses that EU climate policies could achieve even greater success if they further integrate these multiple benefits and communicate them in ways that are relevant to local contexts.

A Call for Better, Data-Driven Narratives

In sum, the Assessment Report 2024 urges EU policymakers to refine and expand their narratives around climate action. These stories must be grounded in data and tailored to local realities, focusing on the full range of benefits that climate policies can offer—from improved public health to greater energy independence. Only by shifting from a narrow focus on emissions reductions to a more comprehensive approach can the EU truly mobilize societal and behavioral change at the scale necessary to reach climate neutrality.

By weaving compelling, evidence-based narratives into climate strategies, the EU can inspire the widespread engagement and action needed to create a sustainable, equitable future for all.

This isn’t a California focused report, but California likewise suffers from this issue. As it moves toward more transparency, California ought to bring greater focus on compelling, benefits-focused, evidence-based narratives into climate strategies to both achieve the greatest success in climate policy and to avoid policy pushback from those focused sonly on cost.

CARB Announces Delayed Enforcement of the Climate Corporate Data Accountability Act

The Climate Corporate Data Accountability Act Senate Bill (SB) 253 (Wiener, Statutes of 2023, Chapter 382) requires entities formed under the laws of California, the laws of any other state or the District of Columbia with total annual revenues over ($1,000,000,000) that do business in California to annually report all of their Scope 1, Scope 2, and Scope 3 greenhouse gas emissions. This legislation aims to promote transparency. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) is required to promulgate regulations implementing SB 253, including establishing a date in 2026 when the first emission reports will be due.

In the meantime, however, CARB has announced it will not penalize entities for incomplete Scope 1 and 2 emissions disclosures under SB 253 during the first reporting period.  Specifically, on December 5, 2024, CARB issued an Enforcement Notice, stating it would not impose penalties for incomplete reports when the first disclosures are due in 2026, provided entities make “good faith” efforts. This policy applies to Scope 1 and 2 emissions from the previous fiscal year. CARB’s discretion has raised concerns from environmental groups, who may challenge the decision, and angered lawmakers.  The law’s authors, Senators Scott Wiener and Henry Stern, expressed frustration with CARB’s slow progress in implementing SB 253, warning of oversight hearings in 2025 unless progress is made.

This notice only affects SB 253, and not other climate disclosure laws like SB 261 or AB 1305.

CARB also opened a 60-day public comment period on the implementation of SB 253 and SB 261, ending February 14, 2025, allowing stakeholders to provide input.

The Joint Legislative Committee on Climate Change Policies has a new chair: Will it take a more active role in 2025?

The Joint Legislative Committee on Climate Change Policies has a new chair. Assembly Member Jacqui Irwin will be leading the Committee moving forward in 2025. This is a great opportunity for the Legislature to resume its role in pushing the state forward to meet its climate commitments.

The committee is supposed to oversee a lot of the climate activities of state agencies in California, and appears to have lost its momentum. It met 5 times its first year, 5 times its second year, once in 2020, once in 2021, 3 times in 2022, and 2 times in 2023. In 2023, it heard testimony from several independent oversight analysts, including the IEMAC and the LAO, indicating that the State’s Scoping Plan was flawed and ought to be bolstered. The staff report prepared for that meeting stated: “Put simply, the LAO and IEMAC were directed to let the JLCCCP and Legislature know if there was reason for concern, and since the Scoping Plan Update was released, they have both sounded alarms. This hearing is intended to heed those warnings.” Recommendations included:

  • The members of the Committees may wish to consider requesting CARB to provide a legislative addendum to its Scoping Plan to provide additional information that quantifies the level of investment and identifies the specific regulations that will be necessary to achieve the enhanced 2030 target.
  • Moreover, the JLCCCP may wish to consider commissioning further independent expert analysis, in accordance with AB 197’s authorization of a technical advisory panel to the Joint Committee, providing answers to some of the missing pieces in the Scoping Plan, especially with respect to pre-2030 action.

The Committee took no action at the end of that hearing, a missed opportunity that can be seized with new leadership.

Proposition 4 (Climate Bond) Embraced by Voters

Proposition 4, a $10 billion dollar bond measure to fund environmental and climate projects, passed by a clear margin according to the Secretary of State. The election will not be formally certified until December 13, 2024, but the results for this proposition are not expected to change.

Funding would be directed at climate adaptation activities as follows, according to the Legislative Analyst’s Office:

(Source: LAO, Proposition 4 Authorizes Bonds for Safe Drinking Water, Wildfire Prevention, and Protecting Communities and Natural Lands From Climate Risks. Legislative Statute (November 5, 2024).)

Good News:  CARB Reports Emissions Are Expected to Be Slightly Down in 2023 Compared to 2021 and 2022 (Bad News, They Remain Up as Compared to 2020)

CARB recently released a preliminary greenhouse gas inventory reporting that the state’s emissions decreased in 2022 and 2023 as compared with 2021.  The bad news is that overall emissions remain up as compared to the 369 MMTCO2e that was previously reported for 2020. 

Reporting by Scoping Plan sector in units of million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MMTCO2e), CARB revealed that emissions are on an upward trend:

Sector2021 GHG Inventory (MMTCO2e)Ratio of MRR Emissions (2022/2021)Estimated 2022 Emissions (MMTCO2e)Estimated 2023Emissions (MMTCO2e)
Transportation1460.9889144141.7±5.4
Electric Power620.95275960.4 ±1.7
Industrial740.99117373.5 ±0.4
Residential & Commercial390.98413838.6 ±0.4
Agriculture31N/A3131.2±0.2
High GWP21N/A2121.2±0.1
Recycling & Waste  8N/A88.5 ±0.0
Total381376375.1 ±8.2

August 7, 2024 Independent Emissions Market Advisory Committee (IEMAC) Meeting

The IEMAC Meeting will be held in the CalEPA building on August 7, 2024 at 2:30 to 5:00 located at 1001 I Street, Sierra Hearing Room, 2nd Floor. Zoom and phone participation are also available. Register in advance using this Zoom link. The public may also participate by phone: Dial +1 (877) 853-5247 (US Toll Free); the meeting ID is: 978 1483 2023, the passcode is: 661610.

The agenda is published. The committee will apparently hear a presentations on carbon removals and carbon management, featuring guest speakers, discuss the July 10, 2024 CARB cap-and-trade workshop materials, and plan for the 2024 IEMAC Annual Report. If you are interested, plan to attend because the meetings are not recorded and the meeting minutes are spare.

IEMAC Opines that California is NOT on Target to Hit Emissions Goals

The IEMAC makes a number of recommendations in its 2023 annual report, covering greenhouse gas accounting, affordability, market links with other jurisdictions, and subsurface carbon management.

IEMAC’s recommendations are based on the backdrop that, while emissions are on a downward trend, California is not on track to hit its emission reduction targets in 2030.

First, IEMAC recommends adjustments to the methodology employed by CARB in accounting for emissions. It noted several methodological concerns. 

  • Among other things, IEMAC notes that CARB should reevaluate the calculation of biogenic CO₂ emissions as this could encourage certain mitigation measures notwithstanding controversy over whether biogenic CO₂ ought to be treated differently from fossil CO₂.
  • IEMAC recommends changes in the treatment of land sector emissions and removals, which are presently excluded from California’s GHG inventory, but in light of recent wildfire seasons comprise a significant source of CO₂. 
  • IEMAC recommends the adjustment of the 1990 statutory emissions baseline, since CARB recently shifted to using MRR data as the primary source for the GHG Inventory; this change was viewed as improving data accuracy but also had the effect of retrospectively lowering historical emission estimates. The IEMAC recommended that this change underscores the need to review and possibly adjust the 1990 baseline to maintain policy stringency.

Second, IEMAC addresses concerns about policy equity in the climate transition. 

  • IEMAC emphasize that vulnerable Californians bear the brunt of these climate impacts, and that the transition to a zero-emission economy must be both affordable and equitable, particularly benefiting disadvantaged communities. It notes that current approaches, such as raising electricity prices to fund wildfire mitigation, disproportionately affect low-income households.
  • It argues for a shift towards more cost-effective strategies, advocating for the role of California’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions market. It stresses the market’s flexibility in promoting least-cost abatement strategies compared to rigid regulations, potentially lowering overall mitigation costs. IEMAC also recommends tighter regulations and adjustments to allowance supply as part updates to the market.

Third, IEMAC encourages California to share its policies.  It argues that while California emits a small fraction of global greenhouse gases, its policies and technologies have a disproportionate impact due to their potential for replication and adoption beyond state borders.

  • It cites examples like California’s cap-and-trade system, which was linked early with Quebec’s through the Western Climate Initiative (WCI), demonstrating the potential for collaborative emission reductions across regions.
  • It advocates for expanding these linkages, particularly with Washington State’s recently passed Climate Commitment Act, which mirrors California’s. 
  • They argue that expansion actually improves efficiency by reducing administrative costs and stabilizing business costs across a larger market.

The Climate Data Dashboard

The state of California has a lot of information on how it is performing in terms of meeting its climate goals, but this data is not always easy to find. To address this issue, a website has been created to provide a concise, easy-to-use overview of most of the major sources of climate law data and reporting from state regulators and state watchdogs

By compiling and regularly updating information on certain key state policies and actors, the website aims to provide both casual readers and researchers with straightforward access to the full scope of California’s climate reporting. Readers can find detailed information on these reports and data by following links provided.

Project Proposal

I am a climate law researcher.  The idea for this site was born from my frustrations in that context.

The state of California has a lot of information on how it is performing in terms of meeting its climate goals, but this data is not always easy to find. While there is significant transparency in California regarding its climate policies, in the sense that there are lots of laws requiring study and publication of emission reductions, policy effectiveness, and the like, there is no page where all of this data is collected on one website.  Most people don’t even know about the studies and reports they are so buried. It’s frustrating for me when I have to hunt them down all the time and I imagine it might be frustrating for others.  I felt like the transparency in practice was missing as a result.

To address this issue, this website has been created to provide a concise, hopefully easy-to-use overview of most of the major sources of climate law data and reporting from state regulators and state watchdogs. By compiling and regularly updating information on certain key state policies and actors, the website aims to provide both casual readers and researchers with straightforward access to the full scope of California’s climate reporting. Readers can get a general understanding of the sources of data and reporting by exploring the pages of this website and more detailed information on these reports and data by following links provided.

This site may change over time, and it may not. But for the time being, the I will include (1) a brief description of each entity tasked with reporting on the effectiveness of California’s climate policy and (2) links to their reports, or whatever form the information is available. For some, there are no reports and the information is buried in meeting agendas or videos of public meetings.

Someday, maybe, I’ll expand the site to include more functionality like news reports, conferences, and other information like podcasts and the like, but that would be way down the line.

Thanks being here. We’re all in this together.